USA TODAY
UN: Global population to reach 8 billion this year, India to become most populated country
Jordan Mendoza, USA TODAY
Mon, July 11, 2022 at 3:30 PM
The world is continuing to grow.
The latest report from the United Nations projects the global population will reach 8 billion people later this year and continue to rise for the next eight decades.
The World Population Prospects 2022 report, released on Monday by the U.N.'s Department of Economic and Social Affairs Population Division, outlined what countries around the world should expect in the coming years.
The global population is expected to reach 8 billion by Nov. 15, the U.N. predicts, but it won't stop there. The population could be around 8.5 billion by 2030, 9.7 billion in 2050 and 10.4 billion in 2100, meaning Earth could have a 31% increase in human population by the end of the century.
The estimated population growth comes as the world's average fertility rate continues to decline. In 2020, the global population growth rate fell below 1% for the first time since 1950. Currently, it's at 2.3 births per woman, down from the average five births per woman in 1950. By 2050, it's expected to slightly fall to 2.1 births per woman.
Still, factors such as the rise of life expectancy are reasons why the global population continues to rise.
"Globally, life expectancy reached 72.8 years in 2019, an increase of almost 9 years since 1990. Further reductions in mortality are projected to result in an average longevity of around 77.2 years globally in 2050," the report reads.
"Two-thirds of the projected increase in global population through 2050 will be driven by the momentum of past growth that is embedded in the youthful age structure of the current population. Such growth would occur even if childbearing in today's high-fertility countries were to fall immediately to around two births per woman."
People ages 65 and older are expected to account for 16% of the human population by 2050, up from 10% in 2022. Men currently make up 50.3% of the population, but by 2050, there are expected to be just as many women as men.
World's most populated country soon won't be China
China has long been the most populous country, but that isn't expected to last long, with India projected to be the world's most populous country in 2023. Each country currently has a population over 1.4 billion people, accounting for over 35% of the global population, but China's population is expected to start declining as early as next year.
By 2050, India is projected to have 1.6 billion people, while China is projected to have 1.3 billion people.
India is just one of eight countries – including the Philippines, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Egypt, Ethiopia, Nigeria, Pakistan and the United Republic of Tanzania – expected to see major population growth by 2050. The increase in several sub-Saharan countries is expected to result in the population doubling in the area.
On the other side of the population spectrum, 61 countries are expected to have a population decrease of at least 1%. Of that list, Bulgaria, Latvia, Lithuania, Serbia and Ukraine are projected to lose at least 20% of their population.
What about the United States' population?
North America is projected by the U.N. to reach its peak population in the late-2030s and then start declining "due to sustained low levels of fertility." But that won't affect the population of the U.S.
The U.S. population is currently 337 million people and it is projected to be at 375 million people in 2050, still making it the third most populous country in the world, behind India and China.
This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: UN: World population to hit 8 billion people in November
https://currently.att.yahoo.com/news/un ... 12017.html
GLOBAL POPULATION
Re: GLOBAL POPULATION
Population trends have also been posted at: SOCIAL TRENDS viewtopic.php?t=6989&start=150
Re: GLOBAL POPULATION
Pakistan and the 8 billion planet
Zeba Sathar Published November 26, 2022 Updated about 21 hours ago
The writer is Country Director, Population Council.
THIS year the world’s population reached eight billion and Pakistan’s 230m. The world paused to absorb a major milestone in humanity, an unprecedented and exponential increase largely due to longer survival of the species, major scientific strides, and momentous events in human history. In Pakistan, we barely paused to reflect on what it means to have grown from 33m at Independence to 230m in 75 years.
We have slowly edged towards becoming the fifth largest country in the world. If our economy were thriving and natural resources infinite, then we might be justified in our lack of concern at the rapid population growth in Pakistan.
Given that the multiple crises facing the country are almost all directly related to unabated population growth, why are we so unconcerned about the 230m Pakistanis today and the additional 110m we expect to add by 2050? What does Pakistan have to offer to our current and future generations and why can we not tackle our rapid population growth? We must ask the difficult questions.
Pakistan needs to finally wake up to the apocalypse: 1.4m unwanted births and 2.2m abortions and miscarriages each year that could be avoided through family planning.
Voluntary family planning gives families choices. When we deny these choices, it is because of our callous attitude. After all, these are women and children whose lives will hardly intersect with ours, let alone match the standards we expect for ourselves.
We celebrate the growth rate that has declined this year to 1.9 per cent, but this is a meagre decimal point decline achieved over several years. Above all, our growth rate is double that of Bangladesh, Malawi, Kenya, India, and Iran — all of which stridently pursue national agendas that aspire to rise from poverty, to provide jobs to the youth and to ensure universal health coverage and universal primary education. These are all basic civil rights from which we are deviating wilfully.
Why can we not tackle our rapid population growth?
Last week, more than 3,000 attended the gala international conference on family planning in Pattaya, Thailand, to celebrate women and girls and the power of family planning to not just save but also to empower lives.
What was striking was the fragmented Pakistani delegation of a handful of government officials and hundreds of NGO and independent members, mainly rallied around their own limited and rather unremarkable successes. It was an occasion to laud delegations from African countries with much lower GDPs — countries like Malawi, Rwanda, Senegal — that were there to seriously attend sessions and note innovations in order to improve their family planning programmes and reach for greater success.
Admittedly, the Pakistan delegates had a tough task — to concede that there has hardly been any change in our fertility and family planning indicators since 2007, that this is not just worrying but alarming — and we should have been there to learn how the rest of the world was reaping huge benefits from family planning.
The FP exemplar session, which showed countries that had achieved huge success since 2010, presented Pakistan at the bottom of all possible metrics of performance in family planning.
I realised the community that is entrusted with leadership in family planning needs to bring in the political leadership more, but it also needs to set its house in order and unite on how our family planning efforts could be redoubled to catch up with low-income counterparts.
Nepal, Kenya, Sierra Leone, and Laos are exemplar countries that had much less going in their favour 10 years ago, but just determinedly went about empowering communities, men, women and families to have fewer better-spaced children in order to give them a better future. We need, above all, to unite rather than work in silos, to plan and agree unequivocally on the next steps we will take to change the flatline that is our contraceptive prevalence rate.
At no point in our history were we as culpable for injustice as during the recent floods when 33m people from the poorest districts of Pakistan were swept out of their homes to live as animals.
Women and children suffered the most. And the biggest tragedy was that the scale of the disaster could have been vastly reduced if these underserved, climate-vulnerable districts had received family planning, maternal and childcare services. But the victims lived in neglected areas and faced a tragedy foretold.
The population angle was not brought up at the COP27 conference, and is likely to elude our evolving damages-and-losses approach to climate change. Family planning and balancing population and resources must be ensured as part of our climate rehabilitation and rebuilding strategy.
Miftah Ismail’s recent piece on governance challenges states that the population problem is straightforward, easy to solve; family planning does not require much money, just resolve and competence.
The message for our current and future federal and provincial governments, NGOs and development partners is simple and clear: 1) Do not mystify and complicate a looming high population growth rate accompanied by millions of unwanted pregnancies and babies each year, just to abrogate responsibility; 2) No new policies please, we have enough of those; 3) Start now, plan ambitiously, implement quickly with good technical advice to expand family planning services within the health sector, both static and community-based; 4) No coercion is required for family planning adoption, just common intuition and a general rendering of reproductive justice — by providing information and services for voluntary family planning to couples and women to enable them to have a better balance between children and ensure their full rights; 5) Add innovations and strategies to break the impasse on population indicators, but based on evidence of their effectiveness, potential impact and costs.
Eight billion is a landmark for the world’s population. Let it also be a landmark for Pakistan’s history, as the year we decided we would switch from producing droves of Pakistanis searching for jobs the world over, to a strong nation of educated, healthy and vibrant citizens.
Only then will Pakistan stand up and be counted other than as the wretched disaster of too many with too little to offer humanity.
The writer is Country Director, Population Council.
Published in Dawn, November 26th, 2022
https://www.dawn.com/news/1723182/pakis ... ion-planet
Zeba Sathar Published November 26, 2022 Updated about 21 hours ago
The writer is Country Director, Population Council.
THIS year the world’s population reached eight billion and Pakistan’s 230m. The world paused to absorb a major milestone in humanity, an unprecedented and exponential increase largely due to longer survival of the species, major scientific strides, and momentous events in human history. In Pakistan, we barely paused to reflect on what it means to have grown from 33m at Independence to 230m in 75 years.
We have slowly edged towards becoming the fifth largest country in the world. If our economy were thriving and natural resources infinite, then we might be justified in our lack of concern at the rapid population growth in Pakistan.
Given that the multiple crises facing the country are almost all directly related to unabated population growth, why are we so unconcerned about the 230m Pakistanis today and the additional 110m we expect to add by 2050? What does Pakistan have to offer to our current and future generations and why can we not tackle our rapid population growth? We must ask the difficult questions.
Pakistan needs to finally wake up to the apocalypse: 1.4m unwanted births and 2.2m abortions and miscarriages each year that could be avoided through family planning.
Voluntary family planning gives families choices. When we deny these choices, it is because of our callous attitude. After all, these are women and children whose lives will hardly intersect with ours, let alone match the standards we expect for ourselves.
We celebrate the growth rate that has declined this year to 1.9 per cent, but this is a meagre decimal point decline achieved over several years. Above all, our growth rate is double that of Bangladesh, Malawi, Kenya, India, and Iran — all of which stridently pursue national agendas that aspire to rise from poverty, to provide jobs to the youth and to ensure universal health coverage and universal primary education. These are all basic civil rights from which we are deviating wilfully.
Why can we not tackle our rapid population growth?
Last week, more than 3,000 attended the gala international conference on family planning in Pattaya, Thailand, to celebrate women and girls and the power of family planning to not just save but also to empower lives.
What was striking was the fragmented Pakistani delegation of a handful of government officials and hundreds of NGO and independent members, mainly rallied around their own limited and rather unremarkable successes. It was an occasion to laud delegations from African countries with much lower GDPs — countries like Malawi, Rwanda, Senegal — that were there to seriously attend sessions and note innovations in order to improve their family planning programmes and reach for greater success.
Admittedly, the Pakistan delegates had a tough task — to concede that there has hardly been any change in our fertility and family planning indicators since 2007, that this is not just worrying but alarming — and we should have been there to learn how the rest of the world was reaping huge benefits from family planning.
The FP exemplar session, which showed countries that had achieved huge success since 2010, presented Pakistan at the bottom of all possible metrics of performance in family planning.
I realised the community that is entrusted with leadership in family planning needs to bring in the political leadership more, but it also needs to set its house in order and unite on how our family planning efforts could be redoubled to catch up with low-income counterparts.
Nepal, Kenya, Sierra Leone, and Laos are exemplar countries that had much less going in their favour 10 years ago, but just determinedly went about empowering communities, men, women and families to have fewer better-spaced children in order to give them a better future. We need, above all, to unite rather than work in silos, to plan and agree unequivocally on the next steps we will take to change the flatline that is our contraceptive prevalence rate.
At no point in our history were we as culpable for injustice as during the recent floods when 33m people from the poorest districts of Pakistan were swept out of their homes to live as animals.
Women and children suffered the most. And the biggest tragedy was that the scale of the disaster could have been vastly reduced if these underserved, climate-vulnerable districts had received family planning, maternal and childcare services. But the victims lived in neglected areas and faced a tragedy foretold.
The population angle was not brought up at the COP27 conference, and is likely to elude our evolving damages-and-losses approach to climate change. Family planning and balancing population and resources must be ensured as part of our climate rehabilitation and rebuilding strategy.
Miftah Ismail’s recent piece on governance challenges states that the population problem is straightforward, easy to solve; family planning does not require much money, just resolve and competence.
The message for our current and future federal and provincial governments, NGOs and development partners is simple and clear: 1) Do not mystify and complicate a looming high population growth rate accompanied by millions of unwanted pregnancies and babies each year, just to abrogate responsibility; 2) No new policies please, we have enough of those; 3) Start now, plan ambitiously, implement quickly with good technical advice to expand family planning services within the health sector, both static and community-based; 4) No coercion is required for family planning adoption, just common intuition and a general rendering of reproductive justice — by providing information and services for voluntary family planning to couples and women to enable them to have a better balance between children and ensure their full rights; 5) Add innovations and strategies to break the impasse on population indicators, but based on evidence of their effectiveness, potential impact and costs.
Eight billion is a landmark for the world’s population. Let it also be a landmark for Pakistan’s history, as the year we decided we would switch from producing droves of Pakistanis searching for jobs the world over, to a strong nation of educated, healthy and vibrant citizens.
Only then will Pakistan stand up and be counted other than as the wretched disaster of too many with too little to offer humanity.
The writer is Country Director, Population Council.
Published in Dawn, November 26th, 2022
https://www.dawn.com/news/1723182/pakis ... ion-planet
Re: GLOBAL POPULATION
How many people die and how many are born each year?
Changes in the world population are determined by two metrics: the number of babies born and the number of people dying.
By: Hannah Ritchie and Edouard Mathieu
January 5, 2023
The world population has grown rapidly, particularly over the past century: in 1900, there were fewer than 2 billion people on the planet. The world population was around 8.1 billion in 2023.
Two metrics determine the change in the world population: the number of babies born and the number of people dying.
How many babies are born each year?
There were 134 million babies born in 2023.
How many people die each year?
There were 61 million people who died in 2023.
WORLD BIRTH AND DEATH RATES:
BIRTH RATE DEATH RATE
146 474 696 births per year: 57 920 669 deaths per year
18.5 births/1000 population: 7.8 deaths/1000 population
401,300 births per day: 158,686 deaths per day
16,720 births each hour: 6,611 deaths each hour
278 births each minute: 110 deaths each minute
Four births each second of every day: Nearly 2 people die each second
Combined with the fact that 134 million babies were born in 2023, the world population increased by 73 million people in 2023 (134 million births - 61 million deaths = 73 million more people; a net increase of 0.91%).
Population projections suggest that the number of annual births will remain at around 130 to 140 million per year over the coming decades. It is expected to decline slowly in the second half of the century. As the world population ages, the annual number of deaths is expected to continue to increase in the coming decades until it reaches a similar annual number as global births towards the end of the century.
As the number of births is expected to fall slowly and the number of deaths to rise, the global population growth rate will continue to fall. This is when the world population will stop increasing in the future.
https://ourworldindata.org/births-and-deaths
Changes in the world population are determined by two metrics: the number of babies born and the number of people dying.
By: Hannah Ritchie and Edouard Mathieu
January 5, 2023
The world population has grown rapidly, particularly over the past century: in 1900, there were fewer than 2 billion people on the planet. The world population was around 8.1 billion in 2023.
Two metrics determine the change in the world population: the number of babies born and the number of people dying.
How many babies are born each year?
There were 134 million babies born in 2023.
How many people die each year?
There were 61 million people who died in 2023.
WORLD BIRTH AND DEATH RATES:
BIRTH RATE DEATH RATE
146 474 696 births per year: 57 920 669 deaths per year
18.5 births/1000 population: 7.8 deaths/1000 population
401,300 births per day: 158,686 deaths per day
16,720 births each hour: 6,611 deaths each hour
278 births each minute: 110 deaths each minute
Four births each second of every day: Nearly 2 people die each second
Combined with the fact that 134 million babies were born in 2023, the world population increased by 73 million people in 2023 (134 million births - 61 million deaths = 73 million more people; a net increase of 0.91%).
Population projections suggest that the number of annual births will remain at around 130 to 140 million per year over the coming decades. It is expected to decline slowly in the second half of the century. As the world population ages, the annual number of deaths is expected to continue to increase in the coming decades until it reaches a similar annual number as global births towards the end of the century.
As the number of births is expected to fall slowly and the number of deaths to rise, the global population growth rate will continue to fall. This is when the world population will stop increasing in the future.
https://ourworldindata.org/births-and-deaths
Re: GLOBAL POPULATION
Population calamity
Editorial Published July 22, 2024 Updated about 23 hours ago
PAKISTAN’s population bomb is not ticking anymore; it has already exploded.
The detailed results of the 2023 digital census published by the government after a year’s delay reveal that the population increased from 207.68m in 2017 to 241.49m in 2023, at one of the world’s highest growth rates of 2.55pc. There have been reservations expressed by some political parties as well as the Sindh government on the way the census was conducted. Many suspect that the 2023 census understates the total population.
If allowed to increase unchecked at the present rate — over thrice as fast as the global average growth rate of 0.8pc — Pakistan’s population might double by 2050. Some conservative estimates, such as the one by the UN, forecast that the numbers will surge to 403m. This will have far-reaching implications for the economy and society, putting an enormous strain on food security, socioeconomic infrastructure and public services. Hence, the urgent need for steps to reduce population growth.
There are two contrasting opinions about the country’s burgeoning population: one views it as a case of rampant poverty and a growing strain on the state’s capacity for public service delivery, while the other touts the increasing numbers as a demographic dividend that can be harnessed to drive faster economic growth, since 67pc of the population is below the age of 30, and 80pc below 40.
The reality is that it is proving to be more of a bane than a boon, as it is a big strain on our already stretched resources, and has made eradication of poverty, hunger, disease and illiteracy a lot more difficult than it should have been. This fact is brought home by Pakistan’s poor ranking on the UNDP’s Human Development Index. With extreme weather events, including destructive floods and droughts, which turn large areas of land uncultivable and uninhabitable and force communities to migrate, disregarding population control is no longer an option.
Pakistan’s exponential population growth may be attributed to several factors: religio-cultural beliefs, social taboos, poverty, female illiteracy, lack of access to birth control and family planning services, etc.
However, many other countries facing similar impediments have successfully overcome their high population growth problem. For example, Bangladesh, which faced a high fertility rate and a rapidly growing population in the 1970s, has brought down its fertility rate to less than two births per woman, and the population growth rate to just above 1pc.
Likewise, India’s growth rate has dropped to 0.8pc. Countries such as Turkiye and Iran have also reduced their fertility rates to 2.1pc and 2.3pc, compared to Pakistan’s 3.2pc.
Their success shows that Pakistan can also control its growth rate by following the examples of its peers and implementing functional family planning programmes and campaigns.
Published in Dawn, July 22nd, 2024
https://www.dawn.com/news/1847186/population-calamity
Editorial Published July 22, 2024 Updated about 23 hours ago
PAKISTAN’s population bomb is not ticking anymore; it has already exploded.
The detailed results of the 2023 digital census published by the government after a year’s delay reveal that the population increased from 207.68m in 2017 to 241.49m in 2023, at one of the world’s highest growth rates of 2.55pc. There have been reservations expressed by some political parties as well as the Sindh government on the way the census was conducted. Many suspect that the 2023 census understates the total population.
If allowed to increase unchecked at the present rate — over thrice as fast as the global average growth rate of 0.8pc — Pakistan’s population might double by 2050. Some conservative estimates, such as the one by the UN, forecast that the numbers will surge to 403m. This will have far-reaching implications for the economy and society, putting an enormous strain on food security, socioeconomic infrastructure and public services. Hence, the urgent need for steps to reduce population growth.
There are two contrasting opinions about the country’s burgeoning population: one views it as a case of rampant poverty and a growing strain on the state’s capacity for public service delivery, while the other touts the increasing numbers as a demographic dividend that can be harnessed to drive faster economic growth, since 67pc of the population is below the age of 30, and 80pc below 40.
The reality is that it is proving to be more of a bane than a boon, as it is a big strain on our already stretched resources, and has made eradication of poverty, hunger, disease and illiteracy a lot more difficult than it should have been. This fact is brought home by Pakistan’s poor ranking on the UNDP’s Human Development Index. With extreme weather events, including destructive floods and droughts, which turn large areas of land uncultivable and uninhabitable and force communities to migrate, disregarding population control is no longer an option.
Pakistan’s exponential population growth may be attributed to several factors: religio-cultural beliefs, social taboos, poverty, female illiteracy, lack of access to birth control and family planning services, etc.
However, many other countries facing similar impediments have successfully overcome their high population growth problem. For example, Bangladesh, which faced a high fertility rate and a rapidly growing population in the 1970s, has brought down its fertility rate to less than two births per woman, and the population growth rate to just above 1pc.
Likewise, India’s growth rate has dropped to 0.8pc. Countries such as Turkiye and Iran have also reduced their fertility rates to 2.1pc and 2.3pc, compared to Pakistan’s 3.2pc.
Their success shows that Pakistan can also control its growth rate by following the examples of its peers and implementing functional family planning programmes and campaigns.
Published in Dawn, July 22nd, 2024
https://www.dawn.com/news/1847186/population-calamity